Shervin Pishevar warns that Fed manipulations are causing breakdown of asset correlations

One of the primary goals of financial planners is to create well-diversified portfolios. And the objective of a diversified portfolio is to create an extremely low chance of seeing a major loss of wealth. In technical terms, this is accomplished through investing in assets that have low correlations with each other’s price movements. This means that when one asset class experiences a sharp downturn, it has been historically unlikely that another asset class will move in lockstep with it.

 

Bonds and equities have traditionally been decoupled

This is one of the fundamental reasons that so many investment professionals recommend having a nice mix of both bonds and equities in any investment portfolio. These two asset classes have historically been relatively decouple from each other. When one moves sharply up or down, there is a low probability that the other will move in lockstep with it.

But Shervin Pishevar, one of the leading venture capitalists in the tech space, has been warning his Twitter followers that these two asset classes may be experiencing a much tighter-wound relationship than has historically been the case. And this is exclusively due to the manipulations of the free market by the Federal Reserve.

Shervin Pishevar explains that the extremely low bond yields that have become the norm over the last few years have been the direct result of the Fed keeping bond prices high through its purchase of Treasury securities by the trillions. But he says that this is a completely artificial price signal. He also points out that the incredibly low interest rates that have prevailed have allowed for massive speculation in the equities markets. And this all points in one direction.

As interest rates and bond yields increase, says Shervin Pishevar, the stock market is poised to crash. But this time, the interest rates may keep going through the roof, even as more and more people seek refuge in bonds. This, says Shervin Pishevar, may continue due to future heavy dollar inflation caused by those same Fed policies. In the end, both bond investors and stock investors could end up losing huge.

 

http://www.pishevar.com/media/

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